Thursday, 17 February 2011

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Copper up 1 pct; supported by long-term demand outlook

  • Thursday, 17 February 2011
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  • * LME zinc hits three-month high




     * Chinese buying reluctant at high prices




     * Coming up: Germany producer prices Jan, 0700 GMT

    (Addes details, comments; updates prices)




     By Rujun Shen	




     SINGAPORE, Feb 18 (Reuters) - London copper prices rose by
    one percent on Friday, after dipping to their lowest since Jan
    31 in the previous session, fuelled by growing worries over
    inflation, but long-term demand prospects remain strong,
    supporting market sentiment.




     Amid rising inflation concerns worldwide, U.S. consumer
    prices, excluding volatile food and energy costs, rose at the
    quickest pace in 15 months in January, suggesting a long period
    of slowing inflation had run its course.




     But the bearish data was quickly dismissed by investors in
    the copper market.




     "The macro news was bearish, but copper still has pretty
    good fundamentals, on top of technical support," said a
    Shanghai-based trader, "The key question is if the Chinese are
    willing to buy."




     China's rising consumer prices data released earlier this
    week dented the shorter-term demand view and raised the spectre
    of further monetary tightening, knocking London copper off its
    all-time high of $10,190 hit on Feb 15.




     "China's demand is still decent -- all the ongoing
    construction projects won't be cancelled just because copper
    prices are high," said the trader.




     Shanghai's most-active copper contract for May delivery
    gained 0.7 percent to 75,190 yuan a tonne, on course
    for a 0.5 percent weekly loss, snapping a three-week winning
    streak.




     Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose
    by one percent at $9,908.25, down 0.5 percent on the week.




     "Sentiment and positions have been flickering," said a
    second Shanghai-based trader. "People are torn between views
    that such high prices are not supported by fundamentals and a
    correction is needed, but the price outlook is still bright.




     "Along the rally, there should be chances for followers to
    take a break and catch their breath."




     Traders and analysts said Chinese buyers have been reluctant
    after prices breached the $10,000 mark.




     Investors continued to watch the spreading unrest across the
    Middle East and North Africa, after Bahrain launched a swift
    military crackdown on anti-government protesters and clashes
    were reported in Libya and Yemen.




     The Shanghai Futures Exchange is due to release its weekly
    stockpile data later in the day.




     LME zinc rose to a three-month high of $2,555,
    before easing to $2,542.




     Shanghai zinc rose nearly two percent to 20,130
    yuan a tonne.




     Traders said some investors had pulled out of copper to buy
    zinc, which was the worst performer among industrial metals in
    2010.




     Aluminium and lead production in China is rising after
    smelters in Henan and Guizhou received more power supplies this
    month, allowing them to ramp up idle and new capacity, smelter
    sources said on Thursday.




     The ratio of cancelled warrant to total stocks on LME lead
    remained at seven percent, after cancelled warrant soared 16,000
    tonnes on Wednesday. <0#MPBSTX-LOC>




     LME tin rose by 0.8 percent at $31,900 a tonne,
    recovering from a two-week low of $30,801 in the previous
    session.




     Indonesia's refined tin exports rose 8.3 percent in January
    from the same month in 2010 as exporters rushed to take
    advantage of record high global tin prices, the trade ministry
    said on Thursday.




    	




     	
    Base metals prices at 0257 GMT
    Metal Last Change Pct Move YTD pct chg
    LME Cu 9908.25 106.25 +1.08 3.21
    SHFE CU FUT MAY1 75190 510 +0.68 4.65
    LME Alum 2532.00 19.00 +0.76 2.51
    SHFE AL FUT MAY1 17170 20 +0.12 1.96
    HG COPPER MAR1 450.50 2.30 +0.47 1.48
    LME Zinc 2542.00 28.00 +1.11 3.59
    SHFE ZN FUT MAY1 20130 370 +1.87 3.36
    LME Nickel 28620.00 130.00 +0.46 15.64
    LME Lead 2610.00 25.00 +0.97 2.35
    LME Tin 31900.00 250.00 +0.79 18.59
    LME/Shanghai arb^ 1085
    Dollar/yuan 6.5796 \ 6.5801




    Shanghai and COMEX contracts show most active months




    ^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE  third month
    (Source: http://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFL3E7DI02F20110218)

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