Wednesday, 23 February 2011

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Copper dips as unrest spurs inflation worries

  • Wednesday, 23 February 2011
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  • * Investors fear higher interest rates in China




     * Ivernia sees resumption Australian lead mine ops shortly




     * Rise in oil price will dampen copper price- Codelco




     * Coming up: US durable goods, new home sales Thursday


    (Recasts, adds details, new dateline/byline, New York copper close)




     By Frank Tang and Melanie Burton




     NEW YORK/LONDON, Feb 23 (Reuters) - Copper prices fell to their lowest
    in nearly a month on Wednesday as escalating unrest in Libya and surging
    oil prices threatened to derail global economic recovery, weighing on
    prospects for industrial metals.




    "Concerns have been building with regards to the geopolitical situation
    in North Africa and the Middle East, which could have an impact on global
    economic growth," said analyst Gayle Berry of Barclays Capital.




     "This is really shaking the market," Berry said.




     Three months copper CMCU3 on the London Metal Exchange ended at
    $9,425 a tonne, down 1.6 percent from its Tuesday close. Earlier, prices
    had plumbed their lowest since late January at $9,375.




     The metal used in power and construction has slipped by about 8 percent
    from record highs at $10,190 hit mid-month.




     COMEX copper for March delivery HGH1 ended down 7.15 cents at $4.2755
    per lb, extending consolidative pullback from its record of $4.6495 set on
    Feb. 15.




     Turnover was about 50 percent higher than the 30-day average,
    consistent with recent larger-than-usual volume, prompting investors to
    worry that copper's decline could accelerate.




     Thousands of Libyans celebrated the liberation of the eastern city of
    Benghazi from the rule of Muammar Gaddafi on Wednesday, who was reported to
    have sent a plane to bomb them as he clung to power. [ID:nLDE71L2LE]




     U.S. crude oil futures CLc1 marched rapidly to hit $100 a barrel on
    possible supply disruption from Libya, stoking inflationary worries. [O/R]




     Investors feared that surging energy prices may boost inflation growth
    and force the government in top metals consumer China, and elsewhere, to
    raise interest rates.




     Wall Street fell sharply for a second day as investors sold riskier
    commodities and sought safety in bonds, gold and the Swiss franc due to
    worries that turmoil will spread to other countries in North Africa and the
    Middle East. [MKTS/GLOB]




     Markets were concerned that this could slow down the economy and weaken
    demand for base metals.




     "This is not a metal-specific or fundamental-specific (downwards) move.
    I do feel that this is very much sentiment-driven," Berry said.




     She added that fundamentals, especially for copper, remained positive
    but that metals prices will continue to suffer until the political tensions
    come to an end.




     A further rise in crude oil prices will dampen copper prices, though
    demand from key buyers in China, the United States and Europe so far looks
    solid, a senior executive at the world's top copper producer Codelco
    [CODEL.UL] said. [ID:nTOE71M050]




     NICKEL DEFICIT SEEN




     Nickel CMNI3 finished slightly up at $28,700, from $28,650, despite
    inventories that have declined since mid-January as seasonal demand from
    the stainless sector picks up. MNI-STOCKS




     It hit its highest level since late April 2008 on Monday at $29,425 a
    tonne.




     Brazilian miner Vale (VALE5.SA: Quote) (VALE.N: Quote) said on Friday it would lose
    around 5 percent of its total 2011 nickel production due to a 16-week
    shutdown of a smelter furnace. [ID:nN18265116]




     The closure at its Copper Cliff smelter in Sudbury, Canada, stands to
    significantly weigh on supply and may push the market into deficit,
    Standard Bank said.




     "The unexpected smelter closure ... now stands to put a significant
    dent in what had looked like being a balanced market, with major
    implications for outright prices and stock trends," Standard Bank said.




     The bank said it now estimates the loss of production at 15,000
    tonnes.




     Elsewhere, news that the West Australian government has lifted an order
    blocking lead shipments to the port of Fremantle undermined support for the
    metal. [ID:nL3E7DN0DC]




     Battery material lead CMPB3 ended at $2,539 from a close of $2,565 a
    tonne.




     Aluminium CMAL3 closed at $2,530 from $2,528 while tin CMSN3,
    untraded in rings, was bid at $31,500 from $31,600.




     Zinc CMZN3, used in galvanizing, closed at $2,495 from $2,490
    Tuesday's close.




     A key global miner and smelting firms agreed to 2011 benchmark zinc
    treatment charges of $229 per tonne based on a $2,500 per tonne London
    Metal Exchange (LME) zinc price <0#MZN:>, according to sources attending
    the International Zinc Association conference. [ID:nTOE71M043]
    Metal Prices at 2:06 p.m. EST (1906 GMT)
    Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct




                                                             move
    COMEX Cu 430.65 -4.05 -0.93 444.70 -3.16
    LME Alum 2530.00 2.00 +0.08 2470.00 2.43
    LME Cu 9425.00 -385.00 -3.92 9600.00 -1.82
    LME Lead 2538.50 -136.50 -5.10 2550.00 -0.45
    LME Nickel 28680.00 30.00 +0.10 24750.00 15.88
    LME Tin 31500.00 -850.00 -2.63 26900.00 17.10
    LME Zinc 2494.00 4.00 +0.16 2454.00 1.63
    SHFE Alu 17010.00 -160.00 -0.93 16840.00 1.01
    SHFE Cu* 71700.00 -1880.00 -2.56 71850.00 -0.21
    SHFE Zin 19330.00 -410.00 -2.08 19475.00 -0.74
    ** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
    * 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
    SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
    (Source: http://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFLDE71M0ZP20110223)

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