Monday, 21 February 2011

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Shanghai copper edges down, tracking London falls

  • Monday, 21 February 2011
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  • SINGAPORE, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Shanghai copper edged lower on
    Monday, after risk aversion pulled down London copper in the
    previous session as increasingly violent protests in Libya
    unnerved investors.




        




     FUNDAMENTALS    	




     * Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange 
    was little changed at $9,809 a tonne by 0100 GMT.




     * Shanghai's most-active copper futures contract 
    edged down 0.5 percent to 74,290 yuan ($11,312) a tonne,
    reversing gains in the previous session.




     * The turmoil in Libya triggered risk aversion and dampened
    sentiment in industrial metals, but sent spot gold to above
    $1,400 for the first time since early January and oil prices to
    2-1/2 year highs.




     * Supporting the sentiment, German business morale rose to a
    record high in February, its ninth consecutive increase,
    signalling a strong rebound in Europe's dominant economy still
    carries momentum despite spending cuts and slower growth abroad.




     * The world copper market had a deficit of 400,000 tonnes in
    the January to November period of 2010 compared with a surplus
    of 98,000 tonnes in the same period the previous year, said the
    International Copper Study Group.




     * LME copper stocks rose 3,550 tonnes to 411,475 tonnes,
    their highest since August last year. The stockpile has been on
    a steady climb since early Dec, up 18 percent from Dec 9.
    <0#MCUSTX-LOC>




     * LME aluminium inched up 0.2 percent at $2,584, a
    hair off the 29-month high of $2,585 hit in the previous
    session.




     * Shanghai aluminium hit one-year high of 17,435
    yuan.




         




     MARKETS NEWS	




     * The U.S. dollar edged up against a basket of major
    currencies early in Asia on Tuesday, although the Australian
    dollar eased and could suffer further declines as mounting
    tension in the Middle East drive investors to cut risk.




     * U.S. crude futures extended gains on Tuesday, with the
    nearby March contract rising by more than $2 from late
    New York levels to above $93.50 per barrel.




             




     DATA/EVENTS	
    1400 U.S. CaseShiller 20 mm nsa Dec 1400
    U.S. CaseShiller 20 yy Dec 1500
    U.S. Consumer confidence Feb 2350 Japan




     Exports yy             Jan     	




             




     RELATED NEWS    
    > Copper down on broad risk aversion, China worr
    > Mexico sees mining investment, Penoles bets on
    > Copper market deficit at 400,000 Jan-Nov
    > Zinc market has 264,000 T surplus in 2010
    > Lead market has 48,000 T surplus in 2010
    > Jan daily average aluminium output 68,600 T
    > Phillipine review of open-pit mining ban possi




     




    PRICES    	
    Base metals prices at 0100 GMT
    Metal Last Change Pct Move YTD pct chg
    LME Cu 9809.00 -1.00 -0.01 2.18
    SHFE CU FUT MAY1 74290 -340 -0.46 3.40
    LME Alum 2584.00 4.00 +0.16 4.62
    SHFE AL FUT MAY1 17370 25 +0.14 3.15
    HG COPPER MAR1 446.35 -3.10 -0.41 0.54
    LME Zinc 2596.00 0.00 +0.00 5.79
    SHFE ZN FUT MAY1 20440 20 +0.10 4.96
    LME Nickel 29300.00 0.00 +0.00 18.38
    LME Lead 2675.00 0.00 +0.00 4.90
    LME Tin 32325.00 0.00 +0.00 20.17
    LME/Shanghai arb^ 1071
    Dollar/yuan 6.5665 \ 6.5675




    Shanghai and COMEX contracts show most active months




    ^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE  third month



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