Friday, 4 March 2011

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Copper up ahead of U.S. jobs data, gains fragile

  • Friday, 4 March 2011
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  • * LME stocks of copper and aluminium rise




     * Oil up, Brent LCOc1 pushing towards $116




     * Coming up: U.S. payrolls data, 1330 GMT




     




     (Updates prices)




     By Rebekah Curtis




     LONDON, March 4 (Reuters) - Copper rose on Friday, helped by
    expectations of upbeat figures from a U.S. jobs report due
    later, but fighting in oil-producing Libya capped gains as
    rising oil prices stoked concerns of inflation hitting growth.




     Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3 was
    $9,980 a tonne in official rings, from a last bid of $9,910 a
    tonne on Thursday.




     "...the market is waiting for the payrolls data," said Leon
    Westgate of Standard Bank.




     "The very good performance of the U.S. equities and the
    positive Shanghai composite index also boosted sentiment," he
    added, after a strong performance in Asian shares.




     Investors betting on a big gain in U.S. payrolls pushed Wall
    Street to its best one-day rally in three months on Thursday.
    [.N]




     U.S. employers probably hired more workers in February than
    in any month since May last year, with nonfarm payrolls
    increasing 185,000, according to a Reuters survey.
    [ID:nN03204001]




     Spirits were higher after a recent spate of upbeat data from
    the world's biggest economy, including figures on jobless claims
    and U.S. services sector on Thursday. [ID:nOAT004756]
    [ID:nN03138882]




     Nonetheless, tensions have run high in markets since a wave
    of unrest has spread across the Middle East and North Africa
    this year. nTOPMEAST




     Crude oil rose over $1 on Friday, with Brent LCOc1 pushing
    towards $116, as fighting in Libya intensified with fresh
    reports of air strikes, and on protests in Saudi Arabia's
    oil-producing Eastern Province. [O/R]




     




     STOCKS CLIMB




     Stocks of copper in LME warehouses last rose 1,250 tonnes to
    425,300 tonnes, their highest level since July last year as
    traders cited weakening physical demand.




     "We would argue that industrial metals may find it difficult
    to break higher in the near-term as long as inventories do not
    register meaningful outflows again," Credit Suisse said in a
    note.




     "Spreads between Shanghai and London prices additionally
    hint at some moderation in Chinese demand," the note added.




     "However, we think that the fundamental backdrop remains
    broadly supportive and expect the uptrend to accelerate soon."




     <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^




      Graphic on LME stocks, see: link.reuters.com/deg67n




     ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>




     The growing piles of metal have moved the copper curve into
    a $8.5 contango -- a discount for cash over three-month material
    MCU0-3 -- from a $70 backwardation, or the premium for cash
    over three-month material, in mid-December.




     Aluminium stocks climbed 7,250 tonnes to 4,606,200 tonnes,
    within reach of a record high 4,640,750 hit in January 2010.




     Aluminium CMAL3 was $2,623 a tonne in rings, from a last
    bid of $2,611 on Thursday.




     Zinc CMZN3 was at $2,512 a tonne from $2,512 at the close
    on Thursday and battery material lead CMPB3 was at $2,655 a
    tonne from a close of $2,619 a tonne.




     Tin CMSN3, untraded in rings, was bid at $31,925 from
    $31,650 a tonne. Nickel CMNI3 was $28,905 in official rings
    from $28,860 a tonne.




     




     Metal Prices at 1305 GMT
    Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
    yuan/T
    Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct




                                                              move
    COMEX Cu 453.00 4.75 +1.06 444.70 1.87
    LME Alum 2618.00 15.00 +0.58 2470.00 5.99
    LME Cu 9979.00 119.00 +1.21 9600.00 3.95
    LME Lead 2653.00 34.00 +1.30 2550.00 4.04
    LME Nickel 28905.00 45.00 +0.16 24750.00 16.79
    LME Tin 31925.00 275.00 +0.87 26900.00 18.68
    LME Zinc 2512.00 0.00 +0.00 2454.00 2.36
    SHFE Alu 16990.00 45.00 +0.27 16840.00 0.89
    SHFE Cu* 74720.00 580.00 +0.78 71850.00 3.99
    SHFE Zin 19270.00 150.00 +0.78 19475.00 -1.05
    ** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
    * 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
    SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07


    (Source: http://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFLDE7230Q620110304)

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